Águia de Marabá vs Castanhal: result 2-1 and analysis
Paraense1st Phase - 2Kick-off on January 25, 2020 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Zinho de Oliveira, Marabá, Pará
Full time
What was the result of Águia de Marabá vs Castanhal?
Águia de Marabá won 2-1 on January 25, 2020.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Águia de Marabá have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Castanhal have 1, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2020 | Bragantino PA(away) | 1-3 | Paraense |
| Aug 7, 2016 | Moto Club(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jul 31, 2016 | Moto Club(away) | 0-1 | Serie D |
| Jul 17, 2016 | Tocantinópolis(away) | 2-0 | Serie D |
| Jul 10, 2016 | Moto Club(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2020 | Independente PA(away) | 3-2 | Paraense |
How many goals should we expect?
Águia de Marabá score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Castanhal score 3.0 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Águia de Marabá | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Castanhal | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Águia de Marabá sit 4th in Paraense (10 points from 6 matches) and Castanhal sit 7th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Águia de Marabá | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | Castanhal | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy