Águila vs Independiente: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera DivisionApertura - 10Kick-off on September 18, 2019 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Francisco Barraza, San Miguel
Full time
What was the result of Águila vs Independiente?
Águila won 1-0 on September 18, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 59′Javier Benito Lezcano ObregónÁguila
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Águila have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Independiente have 2, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2019 | Sonsonate(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Sep 13, 2019 | Alianza(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Sep 1, 2019 | Municipal Limeño(home) | 2-3 | Primera Division |
| Aug 17, 2019 | Jocoro(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 14, 2019 | Chalatenango(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2019 | Alianza(home) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 8, 2019 | Municipal Limeño(away) | 3-2 | Primera Division |
| Sep 1, 2019 | Santa Tecla(home) | 0-5 | Primera Division |
| Aug 24, 2019 | Jocoro(away) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 18, 2019 | Chalatenango(home) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Águila score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Independiente score 0.8 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Águila | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Independiente | 0.8 | 1.3 | 2 | 4/9 | 2/9 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Águila | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy