Match

Águilas II vs Cartagena LU II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Rubial, Águilas

Águilas IICartagena LU II

The Footlab model makes Águilas II the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Cartagena LU II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Águilas II vs Cartagena LU II?

Águilas II starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (1,824 vs 1,690).

Águilas II win50 %
Draw26 %
Cartagena LU II win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Águilas II have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Cartagena LU II have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Águilas II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026UCAM Murcia II(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026Mazarrón FC(away)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 25, 2026El Palmar(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026Balsicas Atlético(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 11, 2026Unión Molinense(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Cartagena LU II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Deportiva Minera(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Santa Cruz(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 2, 2026Santomera(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 25, 2026UD Caravaca(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 18, 2026Cieza(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Águilas II win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Cartagena LU II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 21, 2026Cartagena LU II 1-0 Águilas IITercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 12, 2025Águilas II 0-0 Cartagena LU IITercera División RFEF - Group 13
Feb 9, 2025Águilas II 1-0 Cartagena LU IITercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 29, 2024Cartagena LU II 0-0 Águilas IITercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: Cartagena LU II vs Águilas II on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Águilas II score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Cartagena LU II score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Águilas II1.60.977/158/15
Cartagena LU II0.91.246/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Águilas II sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (52 points from 34 matches) and Cartagena LU II sit 12th (38 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Águilas II34141010474252
12Cartagena LU II3491114403938

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Águilas II vs Cartagena LU II?
The Footlab model makes Águilas II the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Cartagena LU II.
Where and when is Águilas II vs Cartagena LU II played?
Águilas II vs Cartagena LU II is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Rubial, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Águilas II and Cartagena LU II

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