Unión Molinense vs Los Garres: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Sánchez Cánovas, Molina de Segura
The Footlab AI model makes Unión Molinense the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Los Garres. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Unión Molinense vs Los Garres?
Unión Molinense starts as the favourite with a 235-point Elo edge (1,838 vs 1,603).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Unión Molinense vs Los Garres
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Unión Molinense
Not enough data to predict the Unión Molinense lineup.
Los Garres
4-3-3- 9J. Fernandez
- 7J. Garcia Belluga
- 21F. Martinez
- 11L. Bernal
- 8P. Martinez
- 14A. Martinez
- 3E. Fugas
- 12K. Ribeiro
- 2E. Varela
- 15J. Martinez
- 1D. Navarro
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unión Molinense have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Los Garres have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alcantarilla(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | San Javier(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | San Javier(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Santomera(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
How many goals should we expect?
Unión Molinense score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Los Garres score 0.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión Molinense | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Los Garres | 0.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Unión Molinense sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (11 points from 6 matches) and Los Garres sit 11th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Unión Molinense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Los Garres | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 8 |
A question about Unión Molinense vs Los Garres?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Unión Molinense vs Los Garres?
- The Footlab AI model makes Unión Molinense the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Los Garres.
- Where and when is Unión Molinense vs Los Garres played?
- Unión Molinense vs Los Garres is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Sánchez Cánovas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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