Ahal vs Alay: result 1-0 and analysis
AFC Champions League TwoPreliminary RoundKick-off on February 27, 2019 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Ahal Stadium, Abadan
Full time
What was the result of Ahal vs Alay?
Ahal won 1-0 on February 27, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 35′Merdan GurbanovAhal
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Ahal have 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Alay have 11, 0 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2019 | Alay(away) | 2-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| May 16, 2018 | Alay(away) | 3-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| May 1, 2018 | Istiqlol(home) | 0-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Apr 25, 2018 | Altyn Asyr(away) | 0-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Apr 11, 2018 | Altyn Asyr(home) | 0-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2019 | Ahal(home) | 1-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Nov 6, 2018 | Ilbirs(away) | 5-1 | Premier League |
| Nov 3, 2018 | Dordoi Bishkek(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 31, 2018 | Kara-Balta(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2018 | Abdish-Ata(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Ahal win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Alay win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2019 | Alay 1-2 Ahal | AFC Champions League Two |
| May 16, 2018 | Alay 2-3 Ahal | AFC Champions League Two |
| Mar 13, 2018 | Ahal 5-0 Alay | AFC Champions League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Ahal score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 11; Alay score 3.2 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahal | 1.6 | 0.8 | 4 | 4/11 | 5/11 |
| Alay | 3.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy