Ahal vs Merw: result 5-1 and analysis
Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on May 1, 2024 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Ahal Stadium, Abadan
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What was the result of Ahal vs Merw?
Ahal won 5-1 on May 1, 2024.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ahal have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Merw have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2024 | Energetik(away) | 1-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(away) | 2-3 | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 17, 2024 | Aşgabat(home) | 4-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Nebitci(away) | 1-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 3, 2024 | Altyn Asyr(home) | 0-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2024 | Nebitci(home) | 1-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Altyn Asyr(home) | 0-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 17, 2024 | Arkadag(away) | 0-9 | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Şagadam(home) | 2-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 3, 2024 | Energetik(away) | 1-0 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Ahal wins, 0 draws, 2 Merw wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024 | Merw 0-1 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 18, 2023 | Merw 0-1 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 8, 2023 | Ahal 4-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 25, 2023 | Merw 2-1 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 17, 2022 | Merw 3-2 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Ahal 2-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Ahal score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Merw score 0.9 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahal | 1.5 | 1.2 | 8 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Merw | 0.9 | 2.0 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ahal sit 3rd in Ýokary Liga (42 points from 22 matches) and Merw sit 6th (18 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ahal | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 50 | 28 | 42 |
| 6 | Merw | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 23 | 59 | 18 |
A question about Ahal vs Merw?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy