Ahal vs Merw: result 1-0 and analysis
Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 19, 2021 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Ahal Stadium, Abadan
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What was the result of Ahal vs Merw?
Ahal won 1-0 on December 19, 2021.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ahal have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Merw have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2021 | Aşgabat(away) | 2-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 13, 2021 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(home) | 2-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 10, 2021 | Şagadam(away) | 2-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 3, 2021 | Energetik(away) | 0-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 30, 2021 | Altyn Asyr(home) | 1-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2021 | Altyn Asyr(home) | 2-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 13, 2021 | Nebitci(away) | 2-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 10, 2021 | Energetik(home) | 2-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 3, 2021 | Aşgabat(home) | 4-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 29, 2021 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(away) | 1-1 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Ahal win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Merw win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2021 | Merw 1-1 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 17, 2020 | Ahal 3-1 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 10, 2020 | Merw 0-1 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| May 23, 2020 | Merw 3-0 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 16, 2020 | Ahal 3-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Ahal score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Merw score 1.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahal | 1.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Merw | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ahal sit 2nd in Ýokary Liga (55 points from 28 matches) and Merw sit 8th (11 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ahal | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 54 | 26 | 55 |
| 8 | Merw | 28 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 55 | 11 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy