Ahrweiler vs Cosmos Koblenz: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / SaarRheinland-Pfalz/Saar - 7Kick-off on September 9, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Ahrweiler the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Cosmos Koblenz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ahrweiler vs Cosmos Koblenz?
Cosmos Koblenz starts as the favourite with a 221-point Elo edge (1,732 vs 1,511).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Ahrweiler have 0 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Cosmos Koblenz have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Emmelshausen-Karbach(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 8, 2026 | RW Wittlich(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Schott Mainz(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Eintracht Trier(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 1, 2023 | FV Engers 07(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eisbachtal(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Schott Mainz(away) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Diefflen(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Mechtersheim(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Sportfreunde Siegen(away) | 0-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Ahrweiler score 0.7 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 6; Cosmos Koblenz score 1.7 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahrweiler | 0.7 | 2.5 | 0 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
| Cosmos Koblenz | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ahrweiler sit 17th in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar (0 points from 3 matches) and Cosmos Koblenz sit 15th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Cosmos Koblenz | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
| 17 | Ahrweiler | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ahrweiler vs Cosmos Koblenz?
- The Footlab model makes Ahrweiler the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Cosmos Koblenz.
- Where and when is Ahrweiler vs Cosmos Koblenz played?
- Ahrweiler vs Cosmos Koblenz is played on September 9, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 8, 2026TuS RW KoblenzvsFV Engers 07
- Sep 9, 2026PirmasensvsFC Emmelshausen-Karbach
- Sep 9, 2026AuersmachervsEisbachtal
- Sep 9, 2026Gau-OdernheimvsWormatia Worms
- Sep 9, 2026TuS KoblenzvsHertha Wiesbach
- Sep 9, 2026Elversberg IIvsSchott Mainz
- Sep 9, 2026RW WittlichvsMechtersheim
- Sep 9, 2026GonsenheimvsDiefflen