Elversberg II vs Schott Mainz: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / SaarRheinland-Pfalz/Saar - 7Kick-off on September 9, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Elversberg Kunstrasen, Spiesen-Elversberg
The Footlab model makes Schott Mainz the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Elversberg II. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elversberg II vs Schott Mainz?
Schott Mainz is a heavy favourite: 1,849 Elo points against 1,493 — a 355-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elversberg II have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Schott Mainz have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mechtersheim(away) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wormatia Worms(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hertha Wiesbach(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 1, 2026 | TuS Koblenz(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 0-5 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FV Engers 07(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Cosmos Koblenz(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Emmelshausen-Karbach(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ahrweiler(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
How many goals should we expect?
Elversberg II score 1.1 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Schott Mainz score 1.8 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elversberg II | 1.1 | 2.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Schott Mainz | 1.8 | 2.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elversberg II sit 13th in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar (4 points from 4 matches) and Schott Mainz sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Schott Mainz | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 10 |
| 13 | Elversberg II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elversberg II vs Schott Mainz?
- The Footlab model makes Schott Mainz the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Elversberg II.
- Where and when is Elversberg II vs Schott Mainz played?
- Elversberg II vs Schott Mainz is played on September 9, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Elversberg Kunstrasen, in the Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 8, 2026TuS RW KoblenzvsFV Engers 07
- Sep 9, 2026PirmasensvsFC Emmelshausen-Karbach
- Sep 9, 2026AuersmachervsEisbachtal
- Sep 9, 2026AhrweilervsCosmos Koblenz
- Sep 9, 2026Gau-OdernheimvsWormatia Worms
- Sep 9, 2026RW WittlichvsMechtersheim
- Sep 9, 2026GonsenheimvsDiefflen
- Sep 9, 2026TuS KoblenzvsHertha Wiesbach