Schott Mainz vs Ahrweiler: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / SaarRheinland-Pfalz/Saar - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Mainz Golden Eagles Stadium, Mainz-Mombach
The Footlab AI model makes Schott Mainz the favourite at 74%, against 15% for a draw and 11% for Ahrweiler. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Schott Mainz vs Ahrweiler?
Schott Mainz starts as the favourite with a 278-point Elo edge (1,864 vs 1,585).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Schott Mainz vs Ahrweiler
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Schott Mainz
Not enough data to predict the Schott Mainz lineup.
Ahrweiler
Not enough data to predict the Ahrweiler lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Schott Mainz have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Ahrweiler have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | TuS Koblenz(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Gau-Odernheim(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Sep 26, 2026 | RW Wittlich(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Elversberg II(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Gonsenheim(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Mechtersheim(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pirmasens(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Wormatia Worms(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Sep 18, 2026 | TuS RW Koblenz(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Hertha Wiesbach(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Schott Mainz win, 0 draws, 0 Ahrweiler wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ahrweiler 0-3 Schott Mainz | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
Last archived meeting: Ahrweiler vs Schott Mainz on Aug 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Schott Mainz score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Ahrweiler score 0.8 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schott Mainz | 1.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Ahrweiler | 0.8 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Schott Mainz sit 3rd in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar (20 points from 11 matches) and Ahrweiler sit 16th (7 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Schott Mainz | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 20 |
| 16 | Ahrweiler | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 7 |
A question about Schott Mainz vs Ahrweiler?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Schott Mainz vs Ahrweiler?
- The Footlab AI model makes Schott Mainz the favourite at 74%, against 15% for a draw and 11% for Ahrweiler.
- Where and when is Schott Mainz vs Ahrweiler played?
- Schott Mainz vs Ahrweiler is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Mainz Golden Eagles Stadium, in the Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Wormatia WormsvsTuS RW Koblenz
- Nov 21, 2026Hertha WiesbachvsPirmasens
- Nov 21, 2026DiefflenvsFV Engers 07
- Nov 21, 2026MechtersheimvsCosmos Koblenz
- Nov 21, 2026EisbachtalvsFC Emmelshausen-Karbach
- Nov 21, 2026RW WittlichvsGonsenheim
- Nov 22, 2026TuS KoblenzvsElversberg II
- Nov 22, 2026Gau-OdernheimvsAuersmacher