Match

Schott Mainz vs Ahrweiler: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / SaarRheinland-Pfalz/Saar - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Mainz Golden Eagles Stadium, Mainz-Mombach

Schott MainzAhrweiler

The Footlab model makes Schott Mainz the favourite at 62%, against 19% for a draw and 19% for Ahrweiler. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Schott Mainz vs Ahrweiler?

Schott Mainz is a heavy favourite: 1,849 Elo points against 1,511 — a 338-point gap.

Schott Mainz win62 %
Draw19 %
Ahrweiler win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Schott Mainz have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Ahrweiler have 0, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Schott Mainz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)0-5DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026FV Engers 07(away)3-1Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 12, 2026Cosmos Koblenz(home)4-1Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 8, 2026FC Emmelshausen-Karbach(home)2-2Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 2, 2026Ahrweiler(away)3-0Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Ahrweiler
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Gau-Odernheim(away)1-2Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 14, 2026FC Emmelshausen-Karbach(home)2-3Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 8, 2026RW Wittlich(away)0-2Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 2, 2026Schott Mainz(home)0-3Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Jul 25, 2026Eintracht Trier(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Schott Mainz win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Ahrweiler win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 2, 2026Ahrweiler 0-3 Schott MainzOberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar

Last archived meeting: Ahrweiler vs Schott Mainz on Aug 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Schott Mainz score 1.8 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ahrweiler score 0.7 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Schott Mainz1.82.338/1513/15
Ahrweiler0.72.404/74/7

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Schott Mainz sit 2nd in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar (10 points from 4 matches) and Ahrweiler sit 17th (0 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Schott Mainz431012410
17Ahrweiler3003280

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Schott Mainz vs Ahrweiler?
The Footlab model makes Schott Mainz the favourite at 62%, against 19% for a draw and 19% for Ahrweiler.
Where and when is Schott Mainz vs Ahrweiler played?
Schott Mainz vs Ahrweiler is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Mainz Golden Eagles Stadium, in the Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Schott Mainz and Ahrweiler

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