Ahrweiler vs Mechtersheim: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / SaarRheinland-Pfalz/Saar - 29Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Ahrweiler the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Mechtersheim. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ahrweiler vs Mechtersheim?
Mechtersheim starts as the favourite with a 190-point Elo edge (1,694 vs 1,504).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Ahrweiler have 0 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Mechtersheim have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gau-Odernheim(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Emmelshausen-Karbach(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 8, 2026 | RW Wittlich(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Schott Mainz(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Eintracht Trier(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Elversberg II(home) | 5-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pirmasens(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 8, 2026 | TuS RW Koblenz(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Cosmos Koblenz(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Kaiserslautern II(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Ahrweiler score 0.7 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 7; Mechtersheim score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahrweiler | 0.7 | 2.4 | 0 | 4/7 | 4/7 |
| Mechtersheim | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ahrweiler sit 17th in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar (0 points from 3 matches) and Mechtersheim sit 9th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mechtersheim | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 6 |
| 17 | Ahrweiler | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ahrweiler vs Mechtersheim?
- The Footlab model makes Ahrweiler the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Mechtersheim.
- Where and when is Ahrweiler vs Mechtersheim played?
- Ahrweiler vs Mechtersheim is played on April 18, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027TuS KoblenzvsSchott Mainz
- Apr 17, 2027Wormatia WormsvsDiefflen
- Apr 17, 2027Hertha WiesbachvsEisbachtal
- Apr 17, 2027AuersmachervsTuS RW Koblenz
- Apr 17, 2027RW WittlichvsFV Engers 07
- Apr 18, 2027GonsenheimvsCosmos Koblenz
- Apr 18, 2027Elversberg IIvsPirmasens
- Apr 18, 2027Gau-OdernheimvsFC Emmelshausen-Karbach