Match

Elversberg II vs Ahrweiler: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / SaarRheinland-Pfalz/Saar - 30Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Elversberg Kunstrasen, Spiesen-Elversberg

Elversberg IIAhrweiler

The Footlab model makes Elversberg II the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Ahrweiler. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Elversberg II vs Ahrweiler?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Elversberg II (1,499) and Ahrweiler (1,503).

Elversberg II win48 %
Draw23 %
Ahrweiler win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elversberg II have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Ahrweiler have 0, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Elversberg II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Mechtersheim(away)2-5Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 14, 2026Wormatia Worms(home)1-0Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 8, 2026Hertha Wiesbach(away)1-1Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 1, 2026TuS Koblenz(home)0-2Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Jan 31, 2026Victoria Rosport(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Ahrweiler
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Gau-Odernheim(away)1-2Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 14, 2026FC Emmelshausen-Karbach(home)2-3Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 8, 2026RW Wittlich(away)0-2Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 2, 2026Schott Mainz(home)0-3Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Jul 25, 2026Eintracht Trier(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Elversberg II score 1.1 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ahrweiler score 0.7 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Elversberg II1.12.5210/1510/15
Ahrweiler0.72.404/74/7

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Elversberg II sit 14th in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar (4 points from 4 matches) and Ahrweiler sit 17th (0 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Elversberg II4112484
17Ahrweiler40043100

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Elversberg II vs Ahrweiler?
The Footlab model makes Elversberg II the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Ahrweiler.
Where and when is Elversberg II vs Ahrweiler played?
Elversberg II vs Ahrweiler is played on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Elversberg Kunstrasen, in the Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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