Elversberg II vs Ahrweiler: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / SaarRheinland-Pfalz/Saar - 30Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Elversberg Kunstrasen, Spiesen-Elversberg
The Footlab model makes Elversberg II the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Ahrweiler. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elversberg II vs Ahrweiler?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Elversberg II (1,499) and Ahrweiler (1,503).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elversberg II have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Ahrweiler have 0, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mechtersheim(away) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wormatia Worms(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hertha Wiesbach(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 1, 2026 | TuS Koblenz(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gau-Odernheim(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Emmelshausen-Karbach(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 8, 2026 | RW Wittlich(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Schott Mainz(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Eintracht Trier(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Elversberg II score 1.1 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ahrweiler score 0.7 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elversberg II | 1.1 | 2.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Ahrweiler | 0.7 | 2.4 | 0 | 4/7 | 4/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elversberg II sit 14th in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar (4 points from 4 matches) and Ahrweiler sit 17th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Elversberg II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 17 | Ahrweiler | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elversberg II vs Ahrweiler?
- The Footlab model makes Elversberg II the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Ahrweiler.
- Where and when is Elversberg II vs Ahrweiler played?
- Elversberg II vs Ahrweiler is played on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Elversberg Kunstrasen, in the Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 24, 2027PirmasensvsAuersmacher
- Apr 24, 2027TuS RW KoblenzvsGonsenheim
- Apr 24, 2027Cosmos KoblenzvsRW Wittlich
- Apr 24, 2027DiefflenvsMechtersheim
- Apr 24, 2027FC Emmelshausen-KarbachvsTuS Koblenz
- Apr 24, 2027FV Engers 07vsGau-Odernheim
- Apr 24, 2027Schott MainzvsHertha Wiesbach
- Apr 24, 2027EisbachtalvsWormatia Worms