Mechtersheim vs Ahrweiler: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / SaarRheinland-Pfalz/Saar - 12Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stadion an der Kirschenallee, Römerberg
The Footlab model makes Mechtersheim the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Ahrweiler. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mechtersheim vs Ahrweiler?
Mechtersheim starts as the favourite with a 190-point Elo edge (1,694 vs 1,504).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mechtersheim have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Ahrweiler have 0, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Elversberg II(home) | 5-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pirmasens(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 8, 2026 | TuS RW Koblenz(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Cosmos Koblenz(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Kaiserslautern II(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gau-Odernheim(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Emmelshausen-Karbach(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 8, 2026 | RW Wittlich(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Schott Mainz(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Eintracht Trier(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Mechtersheim score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ahrweiler score 0.7 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mechtersheim | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Ahrweiler | 0.7 | 2.4 | 0 | 4/7 | 4/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mechtersheim sit 10th in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar (6 points from 4 matches) and Ahrweiler sit 17th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mechtersheim | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 6 |
| 17 | Ahrweiler | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mechtersheim vs Ahrweiler?
- The Footlab model makes Mechtersheim the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Ahrweiler.
- Where and when is Mechtersheim vs Ahrweiler played?
- Mechtersheim vs Ahrweiler is played on October 9, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Kirschenallee, in the Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026PirmasensvsElversberg II
- Oct 10, 2026TuS RW KoblenzvsAuersmacher
- Oct 10, 2026Cosmos KoblenzvsGonsenheim
- Oct 10, 2026DiefflenvsWormatia Worms
- Oct 10, 2026FC Emmelshausen-KarbachvsGau-Odernheim
- Oct 10, 2026FV Engers 07vsRW Wittlich
- Oct 10, 2026Schott MainzvsTuS Koblenz
- Oct 10, 2026EisbachtalvsHertha Wiesbach