Match

Mechtersheim vs Ahrweiler: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / SaarRheinland-Pfalz/Saar - 12Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stadion an der Kirschenallee, Römerberg

MechtersheimAhrweiler

The Footlab model makes Mechtersheim the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Ahrweiler. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mechtersheim vs Ahrweiler?

Mechtersheim starts as the favourite with a 190-point Elo edge (1,694 vs 1,504).

Mechtersheim win56 %
Draw21 %
Ahrweiler win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mechtersheim have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Ahrweiler have 0, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mechtersheim
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Elversberg II(home)5-2Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 15, 2026Pirmasens(away)0-2Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 8, 2026TuS RW Koblenz(home)2-4Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Jul 31, 2026Cosmos Koblenz(away)2-1Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Jul 18, 2026Kaiserslautern II(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Ahrweiler
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Gau-Odernheim(away)1-2Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 14, 2026FC Emmelshausen-Karbach(home)2-3Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 8, 2026RW Wittlich(away)0-2Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Aug 2, 2026Schott Mainz(home)0-3Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Jul 25, 2026Eintracht Trier(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Mechtersheim score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ahrweiler score 0.7 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mechtersheim1.72.1210/1510/15
Ahrweiler0.72.404/74/7

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mechtersheim sit 10th in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar (6 points from 4 matches) and Ahrweiler sit 17th (0 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Mechtersheim4202996
17Ahrweiler40043100

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mechtersheim vs Ahrweiler?
The Footlab model makes Mechtersheim the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Ahrweiler.
Where and when is Mechtersheim vs Ahrweiler played?
Mechtersheim vs Ahrweiler is played on October 9, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Kirschenallee, in the Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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