Aigle Noir vs Le Messager Ngozi: result 4-1 and analysis
Ligue ARegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 14, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Peace Park Progress, Makamba
Full time
What was the result of Aigle Noir vs Le Messager Ngozi?
Aigle Noir won 4-1 on September 14, 2025.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aigle Noir have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Le Messager Ngozi have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2025 | Dynamik(away) | 7-1 | Ligue A |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Royal Vision(home) | 2-0 | Ligue A |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Garage Express(away) | 2-0 | Ligue A |
| May 7, 2025 | Inter Star(away) | 1-0 | Ligue A |
| May 3, 2025 | Rukinzo(home) | 2-0 | Ligue A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2025 | Royal Vision(away) | 1-3 | Ligue A |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Vital'O(home) | 1-0 | Ligue A |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Inter Star(away) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| May 7, 2025 | Lydia Ludic(home) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| May 3, 2025 | Bumamuru(away) | 1-0 | Ligue A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Aigle Noir win, 3 draws, 2 Le Messager Ngozi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | Aigle Noir 3-0 Le Messager Ngozi | Ligue A |
| Dec 11, 2024 | Le Messager Ngozi 0-0 Aigle Noir | Ligue A |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Le Messager Ngozi 2-1 Aigle Noir | Ligue A |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Aigle Noir 1-2 Le Messager Ngozi | Ligue A |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Aigle Noir 2-2 Le Messager Ngozi | Ligue A |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Le Messager Ngozi 0-0 Aigle Noir | Ligue A |
Last archived meeting: Aigle Noir vs Le Messager Ngozi on Feb 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Aigle Noir score 2.1 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Le Messager Ngozi score 0.9 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aigle Noir | 2.1 | 0.5 | 8 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Le Messager Ngozi | 0.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aigle Noir sit 10th in Ligue A (12 points from 10 matches) and Le Messager Ngozi sit 7th (16 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Le Messager Ngozi | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 16 |
| 10 | Aigle Noir | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
A question about Aigle Noir vs Le Messager Ngozi?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy