Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar: result 4-1 and analysis
EredivisieRegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 28, 2016 at 03:45 PM (UTC)Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
Full time
What was the result of Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar?
Ajax won 4-1 on February 28, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 14′A. MilikAjax
- 28′D. KlaassenAjax
- 53′D. KlaassenAjax
- 64′V. JanssenAZ Alkmaar
- 90′A. MilikAjax
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ajax have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; AZ Alkmaar have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2016 | Excelsior(home) | 3-0 | Eredivisie |
| Feb 14, 2016 | Groningen(away) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Feb 7, 2016 | Feyenoord(home) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Jan 31, 2016 | Roda(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Jan 26, 2016 | Heracles(home) | 0-0 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2016 | Groningen(home) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Feb 13, 2016 | Heracles(away) | 6-3 | Eredivisie |
| Feb 6, 2016 | Vitesse(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Jan 30, 2016 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 3-0 | Eredivisie |
| Jan 27, 2016 | Cambuur(home) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Ajax win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 AZ Alkmaar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2015 | AZ Alkmaar 0-3 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| Feb 5, 2015 | Ajax 0-1 AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie |
| Aug 17, 2014 | AZ Alkmaar 1-3 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| Feb 23, 2014 | Ajax 4-0 AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie |
| Aug 11, 2013 | AZ Alkmaar 3-2 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| Mar 17, 2013 | AZ Alkmaar 2-3 Ajax | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Ajax score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; AZ Alkmaar score 2.2 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax | 1.9 | 0.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| AZ Alkmaar | 2.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ajax sit 5th in Eredivisie (4 points from 2 matches) and AZ Alkmaar sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy