PEC Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle
The Footlab AI model makes AZ Alkmaar the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for PEC Zwolle. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,888 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PEC Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar?
AZ Alkmaar starts as the favourite with a 289-point Elo edge (2,176 vs 1,887).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for PEC Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
PEC Zwolle
4-2-3-1- 17S. van Hooijdonk
- 11D. Mbayo
- 8T. Sommer
- 25T. Oosting
- 30R. Thomas
- 37Gilles van der Wal
- 24N. Viergever
- 28S. Graves
- 3O. Aertssen
- 33D. van der Haar
- 1J. Schendelaar
AZ Alkmaar
4-2-3-1- 9M. Meerdink
- 6P. Koopmeiners
- 11R. Daal
- 21D. Kwakman
- 17V. Byskov
- 7Weslley Patati
- 4L. Schouten
- 22E. Dijkstra
- 5M. Chávez
- 29W. Hoedt
- 28J. De Busser
Computed on October 30, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PEC Zwolle have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; AZ Alkmaar have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 1-2 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Utrecht(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 18, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cambuur(home) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Groningen(away) | 0-3 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Twente(home) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(away) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cambuur(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Feyenoord(away) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 PEC Zwolle win, 2 draws, 3 AZ Alkmaar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | PEC Zwolle 3-1 AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie |
| Dec 3, 2025 | PEC Zwolle 1-3 AZ Alkmaar | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 24, 2025 | AZ Alkmaar 2-2 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| Feb 9, 2025 | AZ Alkmaar 2-0 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2024 | PEC Zwolle 1-2 AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie |
| Jan 20, 2024 | AZ Alkmaar 2-2 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: PEC Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
PEC Zwolle score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; AZ Alkmaar score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PEC Zwolle | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| AZ Alkmaar | 2.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PEC Zwolle sit 15th in Eredivisie (8 points from 10 matches) and AZ Alkmaar sit 5th (20 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 20 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 8 |
A question about PEC Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PEC Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar?
- The Footlab AI model makes AZ Alkmaar the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for PEC Zwolle.
- Where and when is PEC Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar played?
- PEC Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at MAC³PARK Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.