Ajax vs Excelsior: result 3-1 and analysis
EredivisieRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 14, 2017 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
Full time
What was the result of Ajax vs Excelsior?
Ajax won 3-1 on December 14, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 23′S. de JongAjax
- 40′M. van DuinenExcelsior
- 57′K. DolbergAjax (pen.)
- 86′H. ZiyechAjax
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ajax have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Excelsior have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2017 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 3-0 | Eredivisie |
| Dec 2, 2017 | Twente(away) | 3-3 | Eredivisie |
| Nov 26, 2017 | Roda(home) | 5-1 | Eredivisie |
| Nov 18, 2017 | NAC Breda(away) | 8-0 | Eredivisie |
| Nov 5, 2017 | Utrecht(home) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2017 | PEC Zwolle(home) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Dec 3, 2017 | NAC Breda(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Nov 26, 2017 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Nov 19, 2017 | Utrecht(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Nov 4, 2017 | Roda(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Ajax win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Excelsior win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2017 | Excelsior 1-1 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| Oct 29, 2016 | Ajax 1-0 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| Feb 21, 2016 | Ajax 3-0 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2015 | Excelsior 0-2 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| Mar 8, 2015 | Ajax 1-0 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| Dec 21, 2014 | Excelsior 0-2 Ajax | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Ajax score 3.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Excelsior score 1.3 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax | 3.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Excelsior | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ajax sit 6th in Eredivisie (4 points from 2 matches) and Excelsior sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Excelsior | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy