Ajax vs Excelsior: result 1-0 and analysis
EredivisieRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 8, 2015 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
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What was the result of Ajax vs Excelsior?
Ajax won 1-0 on March 8, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 83′A. El GhaziAjax
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ajax have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Excelsior have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2015 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Feb 26, 2015 | Legia Warszawa(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Feb 22, 2015 | Willem II(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Feb 19, 2015 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Feb 15, 2015 | Twente(home) | 4-2 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2015 | Heerenveen(home) | 3-0 | Eredivisie |
| Feb 22, 2015 | Feyenoord(away) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| Feb 14, 2015 | Groningen(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Feb 7, 2015 | Twente(away) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Feb 3, 2015 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 0-0 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Ajax win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Excelsior win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2014 | Excelsior 0-2 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| Feb 26, 2012 | Excelsior 1-4 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| Dec 3, 2011 | Ajax 4-1 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| Apr 24, 2011 | Ajax 4-1 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| Oct 24, 2010 | Excelsior 2-2 Ajax | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Ajax score 2.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Excelsior score 1.3 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax | 2.1 | 0.6 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Excelsior | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ajax sit 6th in Eredivisie (4 points from 2 matches) and Excelsior sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Excelsior | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy