Ajax vs Excelsior: result 4-1 and analysis
EredivisieRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 24, 2011 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
Full time
What was the result of Ajax vs Excelsior?
Ajax won 4-1 on April 24, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 13′L. EbecilioAjax
- 55′D. BovenbergExcelsior
- 71′C. EriksenAjax
- 79′L. EbecilioAjax
- 90′S. de JongAjax
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ajax have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Excelsior have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2011 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Apr 10, 2011 | Groningen(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Apr 3, 2011 | Heracles(home) | 3-0 | Eredivisie |
| Mar 20, 2011 | ADO Den Haag(away) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| Mar 13, 2011 | Willem II(away) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2011 | NAC Breda(away) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Apr 9, 2011 | De Graafschap(home) | 0-0 | Eredivisie |
| Apr 2, 2011 | Heerenveen(away) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Mar 20, 2011 | Twente(home) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Mar 12, 2011 | Heracles(away) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Ajax win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Excelsior win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2010 | Excelsior 2-2 Ajax | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Ajax score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Excelsior score 1.2 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax | 1.9 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Excelsior | 1.2 | 2.0 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ajax sit 6th in Eredivisie (4 points from 2 matches) and Excelsior sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Excelsior | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy