Ajax vs Paris Saint Germain: result 1-1 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueGroup stage - 1Kick-off on September 17, 2014 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Amsterdam ArenA, Amsterdam
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What was the result of Ajax vs Paris Saint Germain?
Ajax and Paris Saint Germain drew 1-1 on September 17, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 14′E. CavaniParis Saint Germain
- 74′L. SchöneAjax
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ajax have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Paris Saint Germain have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2014 | Heracles(home) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 31, 2014 | Groningen(away) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 24, 2014 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 17, 2014 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 10, 2014 | Vitesse(home) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2014 | Rennes(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 31, 2014 | Saint Etienne(home) | 5-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 22, 2014 | Evian TG(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 16, 2014 | Bastia(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 8, 2014 | Reims(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ajax score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Paris Saint Germain score 1.8 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Paris Saint Germain | 1.8 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ajax sit 32nd in UEFA Champions League (6 points from 8 matches) and Paris Saint Germain sit 11th (14 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Paris Saint Germain | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 14 |
| 32 | Ajax | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy