Liverpool vs Ludogorets: result 2-1 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueGroup stage - 1Kick-off on September 16, 2014 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Anfield, Liverpool
Full time
What was the result of Liverpool vs Ludogorets?
Liverpool won 2-1 on September 16, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 82′M. BalotelliLiverpool
- 90′Daniel Ábalo PaulosLudogorets
- 90′S. GerrardLiverpool (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Liverpool have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Ludogorets have 5, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2014 | Aston Villa(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 31, 2014 | Tottenham(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 25, 2014 | Manchester City(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2014 | Southampton(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| May 11, 2014 | Newcastle(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2014 | FCSB(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 19, 2014 | FCSB(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 6, 2014 | FK Partizan(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 30, 2014 | FK Partizan(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 22, 2014 | F91 Dudelange(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
How many goals should we expect?
Liverpool score 2.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ludogorets score 1.5 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 2.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Ludogorets | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/14 | 7/14 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Liverpool | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 18 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy