Ajax W vs Malmö FF W: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa Cup - WomenRound of 16Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Toekomst, Amsterdam-Duivendrecht
The Footlab AI model makes Malmö FF W the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Ajax W. The most likely score is 1-1. If Malmö FF W wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ajax W vs Malmö FF W?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Ajax W (1,915) and Malmö FF W (1,969).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ajax W vs Malmö FF W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ajax W
4-3-3- 9K. Snoeijs
- 26Xanne Kip
- 7R. Derks
- 8S. Spitse
- 19M. van Koppen
- 6N. Noordam
- 15E. Touon
- 5A. Knol
- 12J. van Hensbergen
- 4S. Kees
- 28F. Liefting
Malmö FF W
4-2-3-1- 8M. Persson
- 4E. Löfqvist
- 10I. D'Aquila
- 21A. Sayer
- 19L. Russell
- 18C. Nevin
- 15A. Mårtensson
- 3C. Grant
- 13E. PetroviÄ
- 33H. Lupton
- 1Z. Mušović
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 11:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ajax W have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Malmö FF W have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | PSV/Eindhoven W(home) | 1-4 | Eredivisie Women |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Feyenoord W(away) | 4-1 | Eredivisie Women |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Aktobe W(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Cup - Women |
| Sep 26, 2026 | ADO Den Haag W(home) | 7-1 | Eredivisie Women |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Aktobe W(home) | 8-0 | UEFA Europa Cup - Women |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | AIK W(home) | 3-2 | Damallsvenskan |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Rosengård W(home) | 1-0 | Damallsvenskan |
| Sep 30, 2026 | St. Pölten W(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa Cup - Women |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Brommapojkarna W(away) | 1-3 | Damallsvenskan |
| Sep 23, 2026 | St. Pölten W(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Cup - Women |
How many goals should we expect?
Ajax W score 2.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Malmö FF W score 1.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax W | 2.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Malmö FF W | 1.8 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Ajax W vs Malmö FF W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ajax W vs Malmö FF W?
- The Footlab AI model makes Malmö FF W the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Ajax W.
- Where and when is Ajax W vs Malmö FF W played?
- Ajax W vs Malmö FF W is played on October 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Toekomst, in the UEFA Europa Cup - Women.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.