Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Akhmat Arena, Groznyi
The Footlab model makes Akhmat the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Dinamo Makhachkala. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Akhmat (1,916) and Dinamo Makhachkala (1,921).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Akhmat have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Dinamo Makhachkala have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Rostov(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Fakel(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Fakel(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Baltika(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dynamo(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Akhmat win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Dinamo Makhachkala win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Akhmat 1-1 Dinamo Makhachkala | Premier League |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Dinamo Makhachkala 1-0 Akhmat | Premier League |
| May 18, 2025 | Akhmat 1-1 Dinamo Makhachkala | Premier League |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Dinamo Makhachkala 0-1 Akhmat | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 9, 2024 | Akhmat 2-2 Dinamo Makhachkala | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 19, 2024 | Dinamo Makhachkala 1-0 Akhmat | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Akhmat score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Makhachkala score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akhmat | 1.1 | 1.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
| Dinamo Makhachkala | 1.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Akhmat sit 10th in Premier League (5 points from 5 matches) and Dinamo Makhachkala sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Dinamo Makhachkala | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
| 10 | Akhmat | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
- The Footlab model makes Akhmat the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Dinamo Makhachkala.
- Where and when is Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala played?
- Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala is played on September 13, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Akhmat Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.