CSKA Moscow vs Akhmat: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)VEB Arena, Moskva
The Footlab AI model makes CSKA Moscow the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Akhmat. The most likely score is 1-1. If CSKA Moscow wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,899 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CSKA Moscow vs Akhmat?
CSKA Moscow starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,997 vs 1,868).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for CSKA Moscow vs Akhmat
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
CSKA Moscow
5-3-2- 32L. Gondou
- 17K. Glebov
- 10I. Oblyakov
- 31M. Kislyak
- 19I. Oleynikov
- 4João Victor
- 21M. Azzi
- 23Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov
- 3D. Krugovoy
- 79M. Zea
- 49V. Torop
Akhmat
4-2-3-1- 77G. Melkadze
- 7L. Sadulaev
- 17Egas Cacintura
- 11Ismael Silva Lima
- 4T. Ibishev
- 10K. Shchetinin
- 8M. Bogosavac
- 5K. Cake
- 6K. Sidibé
- 95A. Adamov
- 1V. Ulyanov
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 04:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CSKA Moscow have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Akhmat have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Dynamo(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | FC Rostov(home) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rodina Moskva(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Arsenal Tula(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Zenit(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Dynamo(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Baltika(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Akron(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Dinamo Makhachkala(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 CSKA Moscow wins, 1 draw, 1 Akhmat win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Akhmat 1-0 CSKA Moscow | Premier League |
| Jul 27, 2025 | CSKA Moscow 2-1 Akhmat | Premier League |
| May 4, 2025 | Akhmat 1-1 CSKA Moscow | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2024 | CSKA Moscow 1-0 Akhmat | Cup |
| Sep 28, 2024 | CSKA Moscow 3-0 Akhmat | Premier League |
| Aug 27, 2024 | Akhmat 0-2 CSKA Moscow | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
CSKA Moscow score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Akhmat score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Moscow | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Akhmat | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CSKA Moscow sit 4th in Premier League (22 points from 11 matches) and Akhmat sit 13th (11 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 12 | 22 |
| 13 | Akhmat | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 11 |
A question about CSKA Moscow vs Akhmat?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CSKA Moscow vs Akhmat?
- The Footlab AI model makes CSKA Moscow the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Akhmat.
- Where and when is CSKA Moscow vs Akhmat played?
- CSKA Moscow vs Akhmat is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at VEB Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.