Dinamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moscow: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Anzhi Arena, Kaspiysk
The Footlab model makes Spartak Moscow the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Dinamo Makhachkala. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moscow?
Spartak Moscow starts as the favourite with a 177-point Elo edge (2,100 vs 1,922).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Makhachkala have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Spartak Moscow have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Baltika(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dynamo(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Zenit(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rubin(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Baltika(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | FC Orenburg(home) | 5-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Dinamo Makhachkala win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Spartak Moscow win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Dinamo Makhachkala 0-0 Spartak Moscow | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Dinamo Makhachkala 1-3 Spartak Moscow | Cup |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Spartak Moscow 1-1 Dinamo Makhachkala | Cup |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Spartak Moscow 1-0 Dinamo Makhachkala | Premier League |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Spartak Moscow 1-2 Dinamo Makhachkala | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Dinamo Makhachkala 0-1 Spartak Moscow | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moscow on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Makhachkala score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Spartak Moscow score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Makhachkala | 1.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Spartak Moscow | 1.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinamo Makhachkala sit 5th in Premier League (9 points from 5 matches) and Spartak Moscow sit 2nd (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Dinamo Makhachkala | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moscow?
- The Footlab model makes Spartak Moscow the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Dinamo Makhachkala.
- Where and when is Dinamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moscow played?
- Dinamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moscow is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Anzhi Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.