Akhmat vs Lokomotiv: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Akhmat Arena, Groznyi
The Footlab AI model makes Akhmat the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Lokomotiv. The most likely score is 1-1. If Akhmat wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,800 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Akhmat vs Lokomotiv?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Akhmat (1,883) and Lokomotiv (1,973).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Akhmat vs Lokomotiv
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Akhmat
4-2-3-1- 77G. Melkadze
- 7L. Sadulaev
- 17Egas Cacintura
- 11Ismael Silva Lima
- 4T. Ibishev
- 10K. Shchetinin
- 8M. Bogosavac
- 5K. Cake
- 6K. Sidibé
- 95A. Adamov
- 1V. Ulyanov
Lokomotiv
4-2-3-1- 27N. Komlichenko
- 18N. Titkov
- 7Z. Bakaev
- 6S. Babkin
- 9S. Pinyaev
- 77A. Mostovoy
- 23C. Montes
- 24M. Nenakhov
- 45A. Siljanov
- 5G. Nyamsi
- 1A. Mitryushkin
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 02:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Akhmat have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Lokomotiv have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Zenit(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Dynamo(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Baltika(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Akron(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Dinamo Makhachkala(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Akron(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Fakel(away) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Orenburg(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Akhmat wins, 4 draws, 2 Lokomotiv wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Lokomotiv 1-1 Akhmat | Premier League |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Lokomotiv 2-2 Akhmat | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Akhmat 1-1 Lokomotiv | Premier League |
| Apr 15, 2025 | Lokomotiv 2-1 Akhmat | Cup |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Lokomotiv 1-1 Akhmat | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2024 | Akhmat 0-5 Lokomotiv | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Akhmat score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotiv score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akhmat | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Lokomotiv | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Akhmat sit 13th in Premier League (11 points from 11 matches) and Lokomotiv sit 12th (11 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Lokomotiv | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 11 |
| 13 | Akhmat | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 11 |
A question about Akhmat vs Lokomotiv?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Akhmat vs Lokomotiv?
- The Footlab AI model makes Akhmat the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Lokomotiv.
- Where and when is Akhmat vs Lokomotiv played?
- Akhmat vs Lokomotiv is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Akhmat Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.