Spartak Moscow vs Dynamo: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Lukoil Arena, Moskva
The Footlab AI model makes Spartak Moscow the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Dynamo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Spartak Moscow wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,479 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spartak Moscow vs Dynamo?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Spartak Moscow (2,103) and Dynamo (2,097).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Spartak Moscow vs Dynamo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Spartak Moscow
4-2-3-1- 9M. Ugalde
- 83Gedson Fernandes
- 10Marquinhos
- 18N. Umyarov
- 7P. Solari
- 68R. Litvinov
- 47R. Zobnin
- 3C. Wooh
- 6S. Babić
- 97D. Denisov
- 98A. Maksimenko
Dynamo
4-3-3- 11Arthur Gomes
- 91Y. Gladyshev
- 70K. Tyukavin
- 10Bitello
- 15D. Glebov
- 74D. Fomin
- 8Rubens
- 57David Ricardo
- 4J. Cáceres
- 55M. Osipenko
- 99A. Lunev
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartak Moscow have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Dynamo have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Rodina Moskva(away) | 4-2 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Fakel(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | FC Rostov(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Dynamo(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Akhmat(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rubin(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Rodina Moskva(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 17, 2026 | FC Rostov(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | FC Orenburg(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Spartak Moscow win, 2 draws, 3 Dynamo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Dynamo 2-1 Spartak Moscow | Premier League |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Spartak Moscow 1-0 Dynamo | Cup |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Dynamo 5-2 Spartak Moscow | Cup |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Spartak Moscow 1-1 Dynamo | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Dynamo 2-2 Spartak Moscow | Premier League |
| May 11, 2025 | Dynamo 2-0 Spartak Moscow | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Dynamo vs Spartak Moscow on Sep 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spartak Moscow score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dynamo score 1.6 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Moscow | 2.1 | 0.9 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Dynamo | 1.6 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spartak Moscow sit 5th in Premier League (20 points from 10 matches) and Dynamo sit 1st (22 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dynamo | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 22 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 20 |
A question about Spartak Moscow vs Dynamo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spartak Moscow vs Dynamo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Spartak Moscow the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Dynamo.
- Where and when is Spartak Moscow vs Dynamo played?
- Spartak Moscow vs Dynamo is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Lukoil Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.