Al Taawon vs Abha: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Al Taawon Club Stadium, Buraidah
The Footlab model makes Al Taawon the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Abha. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Taawon vs Abha?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Al Taawon (1,870) and Abha (1,787).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Taawon have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Abha have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al Kholood(away) | 2-3 | Pro League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Damac(away) | 3-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(home) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| May 21, 2026 | Al-Hazm(away) | 0-2 | Pro League |
| May 15, 2026 | Al Riyadh(home) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(away) | 0-4 | Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Al Orubah(away) | 0-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Al-Hazm(home) | 1-2 | Pro League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Rizespor(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Sharjah FC(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Al Taawon win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Abha win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2024 | Abha 2-3 Al Taawon | King's Cup |
| Feb 15, 2024 | Abha 1-1 Al Taawon | Pro League |
| Aug 25, 2023 | Al Taawon 1-0 Abha | Pro League |
| Apr 5, 2023 | Abha 1-1 Al Taawon | Pro League |
| Dec 21, 2022 | Abha 4-3 Al Taawon | King's Cup |
| Oct 11, 2022 | Al Taawon 1-3 Abha | Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Taawon score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Abha score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Taawon | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Abha | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Taawon sit 12th in Pro League (1 points from 2 matches) and Abha sit 17th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Al Taawon | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 17 | Abha | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Taawon vs Abha?
- The Footlab model makes Al Taawon the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Abha.
- Where and when is Al Taawon vs Abha played?
- Al Taawon vs Abha is played on November 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Al Taawon Club Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.