Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Diriyah: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueMatchday 18Kick-off on December 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Al Diriyah. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,580 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Diriyah?
Al-Ahli Jeddah starts as the favourite with a 240-point Elo edge (2,068 vs 1,827).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Diriyah
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al-Ahli Jeddah
4-3-3- 7Trincão
- 9Feras Al Brikan
- 20Matheus Gonçalves
- 6V. Atangana Edoa
- 19A. Bondarenko
- 30Ziyad Al Johani
- 3Ibañez
- 31Saad Yaslam
- 15Saeed Baattia
- 5Mohammed Bakor
- 1Abdulrahman Al Sanbi
Al Diriyah
4-2-3-1- 29D. Núñez
- 20E. Millot
- 14Óscar Rodríguez
- 10A. Boulbina
- 17C. Diandy
- 5I. Gueye
- 99C. Mbemba
- 19B. Djimsiti
- 16Hussain Al Sibyani
- 12T. Wadi
- 97Amin Al Bukhari
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 07:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Ahli Jeddah have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Al Diriyah have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Al Sadd(away) | 0-0 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Al Shabab(away) | 1-6 | Pro League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Al-Gharafa(home) | 2-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(home) | 4-1 | Pro League |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Al-Fayha(away) | 3-2 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | NEOM(home) | 1-2 | Pro League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC(away) | 0-2 | Pro League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Al Riyadh(home) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Al Taawon(home) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Al-Nassr(away) | 0-3 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Al-Ahli Jeddah win, 0 draws, 0 Al Diriyah wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | Al Diriyah 0-1 Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al Diriyah vs Al-Ahli Jeddah on Aug 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Ahli Jeddah score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Al Diriyah score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Al Diriyah | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Ahli Jeddah sit 6th in Pro League (21 points from 11 matches) and Al Diriyah sit 8th (15 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 21 |
| 8 | Al Diriyah | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 15 |
A question about Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Diriyah?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Diriyah?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Al Diriyah.
- Where and when is Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Diriyah played?
- Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Diriyah is played on December 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at King Abdullah Sports City, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.