Abha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 11, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium, Abha
The Footlab model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Abha. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Abha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Al-Ahli Jeddah is a heavy favourite: 2,105 Elo points against 1,787 — a 318-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Abha have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Al-Ahli Jeddah have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(away) | 0-4 | Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Al Orubah(away) | 0-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Al-Hazm(home) | 1-2 | Pro League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Rizespor(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Sharjah FC(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Abha(home) | 4-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al Anwar(away) | 2-1 | King's Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Al Diriyah(away) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Fulham(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Portimonense(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Abha win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Al-Ahli Jeddah win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 4-0 Abha | Pro League |
| May 18, 2024 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 5-1 Abha | Pro League |
| Nov 30, 2023 | Abha 0-6 Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League |
| Oct 31, 2023 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 1-2 Abha | King's Cup |
| May 22, 2022 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 1-1 Abha | Pro League |
| Nov 21, 2021 | Abha 2-0 Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Abha score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Ahli Jeddah score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abha | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Abha sit 17th in Pro League (0 points from 2 matches) and Al-Ahli Jeddah sit 4th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 17 | Abha | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Abha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Abha.
- Where and when is Abha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah played?
- Abha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah is played on February 11, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.