Al Riyadh vs Al-Ettifaq: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, Riyadh
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Ettifaq the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Al Riyadh. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al-Ettifaq wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 2,922 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Riyadh vs Al-Ettifaq?
Al-Ettifaq starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,820 vs 1,719).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Riyadh vs Al-Ettifaq
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Riyadh
4-4-1-1- 7Trézéguet
- 10T. Okou
- 22V. Lekhal
- 6K. Keita
- 11H. Al Ali
- 43B. Mensah
- 26R. Abascal
- 2Sultan Alessa
- 5Hossam Majrashi
- 12Sulaiman Hazazi
- 82M. Borjan
Al-Ettifaq
5-3-2- 71M. Gluščević
- 9M. Dembélé
- 42A. Kanté
- 11O. Duda
- 43B. Celina
- 61Radhi Al Otaibi
- 4J. Hendry
- 5Pedro Henrique
- 70Abdullah Khateeb
- 33Madallah Al Olayan
- 1M. Rodák
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 02:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Riyadh have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Al-Ettifaq have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Al Diriyah(away) | 0-1 | Pro League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Al-Fayha(away) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al Kholood(home) | 2-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(away) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(away) | 0-5 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC(home) | 1-4 | Pro League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | NEOM(away) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Kazma(home) | 2-0 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(home) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(away) | 3-3 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Al Riyadh win, 1 draw, 4 Al-Ettifaq wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq 4-2 Al Riyadh | Pro League |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq 2-3 Al Riyadh | Pro League |
| Dec 25, 2025 | Al Riyadh 0-2 Al-Ettifaq | Pro League |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Al-Ettifaq 1-0 Al Riyadh | Pro League |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Al Riyadh 0-0 Al-Ettifaq | Pro League |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Al-Ettifaq 1-0 Al Riyadh | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al-Ettifaq vs Al Riyadh on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Riyadh score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Ettifaq score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Riyadh | 1.2 | 1.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Al-Ettifaq | 1.5 | 1.6 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Riyadh sit 12th in Pro League (9 points from 9 matches) and Al-Ettifaq sit 8th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Al-Ettifaq | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 16 | 15 |
| 12 | Al Riyadh | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 9 |
A question about Al Riyadh vs Al-Ettifaq?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Riyadh vs Al-Ettifaq?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Ettifaq the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Al Riyadh.
- Where and when is Al Riyadh vs Al-Ettifaq played?
- Al Riyadh vs Al-Ettifaq is played on December 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.