Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Qadisiyah FC: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on March 18, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
The Footlab model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Al-Qadisiyah FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Al-Ahli Jeddah (2,100) and Al-Qadisiyah FC (2,066).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Ahli Jeddah have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Al-Qadisiyah FC have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Abha(home) | 4-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al Anwar(away) | 2-1 | King's Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Al Diriyah(away) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Fulham(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Portimonense(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | NEOM(away) | 2-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC(home) | 0-1 | Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al Taee(away) | 5-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Al Shabab(away) | 3-1 | Pro League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Levante(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al-Ahli Jeddah win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Al-Qadisiyah FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC 3-2 Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 3-3 Al-Qadisiyah FC | King's Cup |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 2-1 Al-Qadisiyah FC | Pro League |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Al-Qadisiyah FC 1-5 Al-Ahli Jeddah | Super Cup |
| Feb 25, 2025 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 4-1 Al-Qadisiyah FC | Pro League |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Al-Qadisiyah FC 1-0 Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah on Mar 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Ahli Jeddah score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Qadisiyah FC score 2.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Al-Qadisiyah FC | 2.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Ahli Jeddah sit 4th in Pro League (6 points from 2 matches) and Al-Qadisiyah FC sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Al-Qadisiyah FC.
- Where and when is Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Qadisiyah FC played?
- Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Qadisiyah FC is played on March 18, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at King Abdullah Sports City, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.