Al Diriyah vs Al-Fateh: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on March 18, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Al Diriyah the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Al-Fateh. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Diriyah wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,250 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Diriyah vs Al-Fateh?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Al Diriyah (1,827) and Al-Fateh (1,735).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Diriyah vs Al-Fateh
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Diriyah
4-2-3-1- 29D. Núñez
- 20E. Millot
- 14Óscar Rodríguez
- 10A. Boulbina
- 17C. Diandy
- 5I. Gueye
- 99C. Mbemba
- 19B. Djimsiti
- 16Hussain Al Sibyani
- 12T. Wadi
- 97Amin Al Bukhari
Al-Fateh
5-4-1- 9W. Kanga
- 10L. Haraslín
- 11M. Batna
- 6Ali Al Hassan
- 28Z. Youssouf
- 17M. Saâdane
- 16Abdulelah Al Khaibari
- 8M. Lixandru
- 3K. Boateng
- 78Abdulaziz Al Suwailem
- 1A. Šemper
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 04:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Diriyah have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Al-Fateh have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | NEOM(home) | 1-2 | Pro League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC(away) | 0-2 | Pro League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Al Riyadh(home) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Al Taawon(home) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Al-Nassr(away) | 0-3 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC(away) | 0-2 | Pro League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Al Shabab(home) | 1-3 | Pro League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(home) | 2-3 | Pro League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Al-Hazm(away) | 3-2 | Pro League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(home) | 0-4 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Al Diriyah win, 0 draws, 0 Al-Fateh wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | Al-Fateh 1-2 Al Diriyah | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al-Fateh vs Al Diriyah on Sep 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Diriyah score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Fateh score 0.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Diriyah | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Al-Fateh | 0.7 | 2.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Diriyah sit 8th in Pro League (15 points from 12 matches) and Al-Fateh sit 16th (6 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Al Diriyah | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 15 |
| 16 | Al-Fateh | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 6 |
A question about Al Diriyah vs Al-Fateh?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Diriyah vs Al-Fateh?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Diriyah the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Al-Fateh.
- Where and when is Al Diriyah vs Al-Fateh played?
- Al Diriyah vs Al-Fateh is played on March 18, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC), in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.