Abha vs Al-Nassr: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on March 18, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium, Abha
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Nassr the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Abha. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,761 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Abha vs Al-Nassr?
Al-Nassr is a heavy favourite: 2,094 Elo points against 1,749, a 345-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Abha vs Al-Nassr
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Abha
5-4-1- 44M. Batshuayi
- 7Firas Al-Ghamdi
- 10N. Fekir
- 17Abdulkarim Darisi
- 14G. Nkoudou
- 3J. Gaari
- 19Abdullah Al Fahad
- 37Abdulbasit Al-Hindi
- 12K. Al Shamrani
- 23Mohammed Al Dossary
- 16D. Léon
Al-Nassr
4-4-2- 7Cristiano Ronaldo
- 79João Félix
- 10S. Mané
- 11Samú Costa
- 21K. Coman
- 17Abdullah Al Khaibari
- 12Nawaf Boushal
- 26Íñigo Martínez
- 3M. Simakan
- 70Awad Aman
- 24Bento
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 09:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Abha have 1 win, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Al-Nassr have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(away) | 1-2 | Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al Diriyah(away) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Al-Nassr(away) | 1-2 | Pro League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq(home) | 0-1 | Pro League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Al-Fayha(away) | 2-3 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Neftchi(home) | 3-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Al Diriyah(home) | 3-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Al Ain(away) | 0-4 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(away) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Abha(home) | 2-1 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Abha wins, 1 draw, 5 Al-Nassr wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | Al-Nassr 2-1 Abha | Pro League |
| Apr 2, 2024 | Abha 0-8 Al-Nassr | Pro League |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Al-Nassr 2-2 Abha | Pro League |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Al-Nassr 2-1 Abha | Pro League |
| Mar 14, 2023 | Al-Nassr 3-1 Abha | King's Cup |
| Oct 7, 2022 | Abha 0-3 Al-Nassr | Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Abha score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Nassr score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abha | 0.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Al-Nassr | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Abha sit 18th in Pro League (2 points from 8 matches) and Al-Nassr sit 3rd (19 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Al-Nassr | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 19 |
| 18 | Abha | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 2 |
A question about Abha vs Al-Nassr?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Abha vs Al-Nassr?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Nassr the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Abha.
- Where and when is Abha vs Al-Nassr played?
- Abha vs Al-Nassr is played on March 18, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.