Al Arabi vs Al Shabab: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on May 30, 2027 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Ali Sabah Al Salem Stadium, Madīnat al-Kuwayt (Kuwait City)
The Footlab model makes Al Arabi the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Al Shabab. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Arabi vs Al Shabab?
Al Arabi is a heavy favourite: 1,769 Elo points against 1,358 — a 411-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Arabi have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Al Shabab have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | East Bengal II(away) | 1-4 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Jun 29, 2026 | Al Fahaheel(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Al Salmiyah(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Al Kuwait(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Al Qadsia(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2026 | Al Tadhamon(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Al Jahra(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Al Nasar(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Al Jahra(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 29, 2026 | Al Tadhamon(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Al Arabi win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Al Shabab win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2026 | Al Shabab 0-5 Al Arabi | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Al Arabi 2-0 Al Shabab | Premier League |
| Dec 25, 2023 | Al Arabi 1-0 Al Shabab | Premier League |
| Aug 31, 2023 | Al Shabab 1-1 Al Arabi | Premier League |
| Apr 15, 2022 | Al Shabab 1-4 Al Arabi | Premier League |
| Dec 29, 2021 | Al Arabi 3-0 Al Shabab | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Arabi score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Al Shabab score 0.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Arabi | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Al Shabab | 0.9 | 2.3 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Arabi sit 2nd in Premier League (36 points from 20 matches) and Al Shabab sit 8th (18 points from 18 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al Arabi | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 13 | 36 |
| 8 | Al Shabab | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 33 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Arabi vs Al Shabab?
- The Footlab model makes Al Arabi the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Al Shabab.
- Where and when is Al Arabi vs Al Shabab played?
- Al Arabi vs Al Shabab is played on May 30, 2027 at 05:45 PM (UTC) at Ali Sabah Al Salem Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.