Al-Ettifaq vs Al Diriyah: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium, Dammam
The Footlab model makes Al-Ettifaq the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Al Diriyah. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Ettifaq vs Al Diriyah?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Al-Ettifaq (1,845) and Al Diriyah (1,806).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Ettifaq have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Al Diriyah have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Al Jabalain(away) | 0-1 | King's Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Al Riyadh(home) | 4-2 | Pro League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | York(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Johor Darul Takzim FC(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Al-Nassr(home) | 1-4 | King's Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(home) | 0-1 | Pro League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | FA 2000(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Trelleborg(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Al Ula(home) | 2-1 | Division 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Ettifaq score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Al Diriyah score 2.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Ettifaq | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Al Diriyah | 2.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Ettifaq sit 3rd in Pro League (3 points from 1 matches) and Al Diriyah sit 13th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Al-Ettifaq | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Al Diriyah | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Ettifaq vs Al Diriyah?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Ettifaq the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Al Diriyah.
- Where and when is Al-Ettifaq vs Al Diriyah played?
- Al-Ettifaq vs Al Diriyah is played on August 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.