Al-Fayha vs Abha: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium, Al Majma'ah
The Footlab model makes Al-Fayha the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Abha. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Fayha vs Abha?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Al-Fayha (1,770) and Abha (1,790).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Fayha have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Abha have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al-Adalah(away) | 2-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | NEOM(away) | 1-2 | Pro League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Den Bosch(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 0-7 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Al Orubah(away) | 0-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Al-Hazm(home) | 1-2 | Pro League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Rizespor(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Sharjah FC(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 13, 2026 | Al-Raed(away) | 1-5 | Division 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Al-Fayha win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Abha win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | Al-Fayha 3-2 Abha | Pro League |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Abha 2-1 Al-Fayha | Pro League |
| Mar 2, 2023 | Al-Fayha 2-0 Abha | Pro League |
| Sep 16, 2022 | Abha 1-1 Al-Fayha | Pro League |
| Jun 23, 2022 | Abha 0-0 Al-Fayha | Pro League |
| Dec 25, 2021 | Al-Fayha 0-0 Abha | Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Fayha score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Abha score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Fayha | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Abha | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Fayha sit 13th in Pro League (0 points from 1 matches) and Abha sit 12th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Abha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Al-Fayha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Fayha vs Abha?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Fayha the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Abha.
- Where and when is Al-Fayha vs Abha played?
- Al-Fayha vs Abha is played on August 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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