Al-Ettifaq vs Al Shabab: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 31Kick-off on May 12, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium, Dammam
The Footlab model makes Al-Ettifaq the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Al Shabab. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Ettifaq vs Al Shabab?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Al-Ettifaq (1,856) and Al Shabab (1,792).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Ettifaq have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Al Shabab have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Al-Nassr(home) | 2-3 | Pro League |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al-Fateh(away) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Al Jabalain(away) | 0-1 | King's Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Al Riyadh(home) | 4-2 | Pro League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Al Riyadh(home) | 3-3 | Pro League |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(away) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Al Wehda Club(away) | 2-3 | King's Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(home) | 1-3 | Pro League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | MC Alger(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al-Ettifaq win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Al Shabab win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq 1-1 Al Shabab | Pro League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Al Shabab 1-1 Al-Ettifaq | Pro League |
| Jan 31, 2025 | Al-Ettifaq 3-1 Al Shabab | Pro League |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Al Shabab 0-1 Al-Ettifaq | Pro League |
| May 23, 2024 | Al-Ettifaq 1-0 Al Shabab | Pro League |
| Dec 7, 2023 | Al Shabab 0-0 Al-Ettifaq | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al-Ettifaq vs Al Shabab on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Ettifaq score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Al Shabab score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Ettifaq | 1.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Al Shabab | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Ettifaq sit 5th in Pro League (6 points from 2 matches) and Al Shabab sit 13th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Al-Ettifaq | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Ettifaq vs Al Shabab?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Ettifaq the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Al Shabab.
- Where and when is Al-Ettifaq vs Al Shabab played?
- Al-Ettifaq vs Al Shabab is played on May 12, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.