Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 31Kick-off on May 12, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium, Al Majma'ah
The Footlab model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Al-Faisaly FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Al-Ahli Jeddah is a heavy favourite: 2,100 Elo points against 1,770, a 330-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Faisaly FC have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Al-Ahli Jeddah have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | NEOM(home) | 0-2 | Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | NEOM(home) | 1-3 | King's Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC(away) | 2-4 | Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Beltinci(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 14, 2026 | Al Baten(home) | 4-0 | Division 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Abha(home) | 4-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al Anwar(away) | 2-1 | King's Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Al Diriyah(away) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Fulham(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Portimonense(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Al-Faisaly FC win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Al-Ahli Jeddah win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2023 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 2-2 Al-Faisaly FC | Division 1 |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Al-Faisaly FC 1-2 Al-Ahli Jeddah | Division 1 |
| Jan 11, 2022 | Al-Faisaly FC 2-2 Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League |
| Dec 21, 2021 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 2-1 Al-Faisaly FC | King's Cup |
| Aug 13, 2021 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 1-1 Al-Faisaly FC | Pro League |
| Feb 27, 2021 | Al-Faisaly FC 2-1 Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Faisaly FC on Apr 15, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Faisaly FC score 2.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Ahli Jeddah score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Faisaly FC | 2.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Faisaly FC sit 17th in Pro League (0 points from 2 matches) and Al-Ahli Jeddah sit 4th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 17 | Al-Faisaly FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Al-Faisaly FC.
- Where and when is Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah played?
- Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah is played on May 12, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.