Al-Faisaly FC vs Al Diriyah: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium, Al Majma'ah
The Footlab model makes Al Diriyah the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Al-Faisaly FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Faisaly FC vs Al Diriyah?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Al-Faisaly FC (1,774) and Al Diriyah (1,819).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Faisaly FC have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Al Diriyah have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | NEOM(home) | 0-2 | Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | NEOM(home) | 1-3 | King's Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC(away) | 2-4 | Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Beltinci(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 14, 2026 | Al Baten(home) | 4-0 | Division 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al-Hazm(away) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Al-Nassr(home) | 1-4 | King's Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(home) | 0-1 | Pro League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | FA 2000(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Trelleborg(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Al-Faisaly FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Al Diriyah win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Al-Faisaly FC 2-2 Al Diriyah | Division 1 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Al Diriyah 1-1 Al-Faisaly FC | Division 1 |
Last archived meeting: Al-Faisaly FC vs Al Diriyah on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Faisaly FC score 2.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Al Diriyah score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Faisaly FC | 2.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Al Diriyah | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Faisaly FC sit 14th in Pro League (0 points from 2 matches) and Al Diriyah sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Al Diriyah | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Al-Faisaly FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Faisaly FC vs Al Diriyah?
- The Footlab model makes Al Diriyah the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Al-Faisaly FC.
- Where and when is Al-Faisaly FC vs Al Diriyah played?
- Al-Faisaly FC vs Al Diriyah is played on November 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.