Abha vs Al Shabab: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium, Abha
The Footlab model makes Abha the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Al Shabab. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Abha vs Al Shabab?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Abha (1,787) and Al Shabab (1,792).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Abha have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Al Shabab have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(away) | 0-4 | Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Al Orubah(away) | 0-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Al-Hazm(home) | 1-2 | Pro League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Rizespor(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Sharjah FC(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(away) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Al Wehda Club(away) | 2-3 | King's Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(home) | 1-3 | Pro League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | MC Alger(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Al Ahli Doha(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Abha win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Al Shabab win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2025 | Abha 1-1 Al Shabab | King's Cup |
| Apr 18, 2024 | Al Shabab 5-0 Abha | Pro League |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Abha 2-1 Al Shabab | Pro League |
| Feb 14, 2023 | Al Shabab 2-0 Abha | Pro League |
| Sep 1, 2022 | Abha 0-4 Al Shabab | Pro League |
| Jan 8, 2022 | Al Shabab 1-1 Abha | Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Abha score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Al Shabab score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abha | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Al Shabab | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Abha sit 17th in Pro League (0 points from 2 matches) and Al Shabab sit 13th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Al Shabab | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 17 | Abha | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Abha vs Al Shabab?
- The Footlab model makes Abha the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Al Shabab.
- Where and when is Abha vs Al Shabab played?
- Abha vs Al Shabab is played on November 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.