Al-Fateh vs Al Riyadh: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Sports City Stadium, Al-Hasa
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Fateh the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Al Riyadh. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al-Fateh wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Fateh vs Al Riyadh?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Al-Fateh (1,653) and Al Riyadh (1,679).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al-Fateh vs Al Riyadh
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al-Fateh
5-4-1- 9W. Kanga
- 10L. Haraslín
- 11M. Batna
- 6Ali Al Hassan
- 28Z. Youssouf
- 17M. Saâdane
- 16Abdulelah Al Khaibari
- 8M. Lixandru
- 3K. Boateng
- 78Abdulaziz Al Suwailem
- 1A. Šemper
Al Riyadh
4-3-3- 10T. Okou
- 7Trézéguet
- 19A. M. Al Harthi
- 22V. Lekhal
- 6K. Keita
- 43B. Mensah
- 26R. Abascal
- 5Hossam Majrashi
- 23Hussain Qasim
- 2Sultan Alessa
- 82M. Borjan
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 08:57 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Fateh have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Al Riyadh have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | Al Shabab(home) | 1-3 | Pro League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(home) | 2-3 | Pro League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Al-Hazm(away) | 3-2 | Pro League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(home) | 0-4 | Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | NEOM(away) | 2-4 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Al Taawon(home) | 2-1 | Pro League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Al Diriyah(away) | 0-1 | Pro League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Al-Fayha(away) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al Kholood(home) | 2-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(away) | 0-0 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Al-Fateh wins, 2 draws, 2 Al Riyadh wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Al Riyadh 1-0 Al-Fateh | Pro League |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Al-Fateh 3-1 Al Riyadh | Pro League |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Al-Fateh 2-0 Al Riyadh | King's Cup |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Al Riyadh 2-2 Al-Fateh | Pro League |
| Nov 28, 2024 | Al-Fateh 1-2 Al Riyadh | Pro League |
| May 2, 2024 | Al-Fateh 2-2 Al Riyadh | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al Riyadh vs Al-Fateh on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Fateh score 0.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Al Riyadh score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Fateh | 0.8 | 1.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Al Riyadh | 1.2 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Fateh sit 16th in Pro League (6 points from 11 matches) and Al Riyadh sit 11th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Al Riyadh | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 12 |
| 16 | Al-Fateh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 6 |
A question about Al-Fateh vs Al Riyadh?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Fateh vs Al Riyadh?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Fateh the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Al Riyadh.
- Where and when is Al-Fateh vs Al Riyadh played?
- Al-Fateh vs Al Riyadh is played on November 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Sports City Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.