Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Fateh: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on April 8, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
The Footlab model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Al-Fateh. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Fateh?
Al-Ahli Jeddah is a heavy favourite: 2,100 Elo points against 1,749, a 351-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Ahli Jeddah have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Al-Fateh have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Abha(home) | 4-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al Anwar(away) | 2-1 | King's Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Al Diriyah(away) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Fulham(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Portimonense(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq(home) | 0-1 | Pro League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Al Ula(away) | 0-3 | King's Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Al-Nassr(away) | 0-3 | Pro League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 21, 2026 | Al Kholood(away) | 0-0 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Al-Ahli Jeddah win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Al-Fateh win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 3-1 Al-Fateh | Pro League |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Al-Fateh 2-1 Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League |
| Feb 7, 2025 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 2-0 Al-Fateh | Pro League |
| Aug 27, 2024 | Al-Fateh 1-0 Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 1-1 Al-Fateh | Pro League |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Al-Fateh 5-1 Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Fateh on May 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Ahli Jeddah score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Fateh score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Al-Fateh | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Ahli Jeddah sit 4th in Pro League (6 points from 2 matches) and Al-Fateh sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 18 | Al-Fateh | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Fateh?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Al-Fateh.
- Where and when is Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Fateh played?
- Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Fateh is played on April 8, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at King Abdullah Sports City, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.