Al Hilal Omdurman vs Bugesera: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Al-Hilal Stadium, Omdurman (Umm Durman)
The Footlab AI model makes Al Hilal Omdurman the favourite at 63%, against 24% for a draw and 13% for Bugesera. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,566 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Hilal Omdurman vs Bugesera?
Al Hilal Omdurman starts as the favourite with a 220-point Elo edge (1,880 vs 1,660).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Hilal Omdurman vs Bugesera
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Hilal Omdurman
4-3-3- 11A. Coulibaly
- 10Mohamed Abdelrahman
- 7J. Girumugisha
- 8Abdel Raouf
- 21Walieldin Khedr
- 18M. Kane
- 12E. Luzolo
- 19Mustafa Karshoum
- 6Mohamed Erneq
- 24S. Ebuela
- 1F. Ouédraogo
Bugesera
Not enough data to predict the Bugesera lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 06:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Hilal Omdurman have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Bugesera have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Rayon Sports(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Gasogi United(away) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Marines(away) | 0-3 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sidama Bunna(home) | 2-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sidama Bunna(away) | 2-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Amagaju(home) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Police(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Gasogi United(away) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Etincelles(home) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Kiyovu Sports(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Al Hilal Omdurman wins, 0 draws, 0 Bugesera wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | Bugesera 0-2 Al Hilal Omdurman | National Soccer League |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Al Hilal Omdurman 3-1 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Bugesera vs Al Hilal Omdurman on Mar 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Hilal Omdurman score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bugesera score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Hilal Omdurman | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Bugesera | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Hilal Omdurman sit 11th in National Soccer League (7 points from 4 matches) and Bugesera sit 6th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bugesera | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 11 | Al Hilal Omdurman | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
A question about Al Hilal Omdurman vs Bugesera?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Hilal Omdurman vs Bugesera?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Hilal Omdurman the favourite at 63%, against 24% for a draw and 13% for Bugesera.
- Where and when is Al Hilal Omdurman vs Bugesera played?
- Al Hilal Omdurman vs Bugesera is played on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Al-Hilal Stadium, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.