Kiyovu Sports vs Sunrise: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Mumena, Kigali
The Footlab model makes Kiyovu Sports the favourite at 47%, against 31% for a draw and 22% for Sunrise. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kiyovu Sports vs Sunrise?
Kiyovu Sports starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,749 vs 1,601).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kiyovu Sports have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Sunrise have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2026 | Rayon Sports(away) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 24, 2026 | Police(away) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| May 16, 2026 | Muhanga(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 10, 2026 | Al Merreikh(away) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| May 5, 2026 | Amagaju(away) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2024 | Marines(home) | 3-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 4, 2024 | Amagaju(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Gorilla(home) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Gasogi United(away) | 0-3 | National Soccer League |
| Apr 3, 2024 | Kiyovu Sports(away) | 0-4 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kiyovu Sports win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Sunrise win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2024 | Kiyovu Sports 4-0 Sunrise | National Soccer League |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Sunrise 0-0 Kiyovu Sports | National Soccer League |
| May 21, 2023 | Sunrise 1-0 Kiyovu Sports | National Soccer League |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Kiyovu Sports 1-2 Sunrise | National Soccer League |
| Jun 17, 2021 | Kiyovu Sports 0-0 Sunrise | National Soccer League |
| Jan 19, 2020 | Sunrise 0-2 Kiyovu Sports | National Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Kiyovu Sports vs Sunrise on Apr 3, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Kiyovu Sports score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sunrise score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiyovu Sports | 1.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Sunrise | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kiyovu Sports | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 34 | 21 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kiyovu Sports vs Sunrise?
- The Footlab model makes Kiyovu Sports the favourite at 47%, against 31% for a draw and 22% for Sunrise.
- Where and when is Kiyovu Sports vs Sunrise played?
- Kiyovu Sports vs Sunrise is played on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Mumena, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.