Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 1, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Kingdom Arena, Riyadh
The Footlab model makes Al-Hilal Saudi FC the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Al-Ahli Jeddah. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Al-Hilal Saudi FC (2,184) and Al-Ahli Jeddah (2,099).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Hilal Saudi FC have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Al-Ahli Jeddah have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Al-Fayha(away) | 3-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al-Raed(away) | 2-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Al-Faisaly FC(home) | 4-2 | Pro League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Al Ahli Doha(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | MC Alger(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al Anwar(away) | 2-1 | King's Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Al Diriyah(away) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Fulham(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Portimonense(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Guimaraes(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Al-Ahli Jeddah win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 1-1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC | King's Cup |
| Feb 2, 2026 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC 0-0 Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 3-3 Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Pro League |
| Apr 29, 2025 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1-3 Al-Ahli Jeddah | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2-3 Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 1-2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC on Mar 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Hilal Saudi FC score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Ahli Jeddah score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 2.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Hilal Saudi FC sit 1st in Pro League (6 points from 2 matches) and Al-Ahli Jeddah sit 7th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Hilal Saudi FC the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Al-Ahli Jeddah.
- Where and when is Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah played?
- Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah is played on September 1, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Kingdom Arena, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.