Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 26, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
The Footlab model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Al-Ittihad FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Al-Ittihad FC (2,009) and Al-Ahli Jeddah (2,100).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Ittihad FC have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Al-Ahli Jeddah have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Al-Hazm(home) | 3-2 | Pro League |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(away) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Al Najma(away) | 3-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Al Kholood(home) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Al-Jazira(away) | 4-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Abha(home) | 4-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al Anwar(away) | 2-1 | King's Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Al Diriyah(away) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Fulham(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Portimonense(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Al-Ittihad FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Al-Ahli Jeddah win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 3-1 Al-Ittihad FC | Pro League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Al-Ittihad FC 0-1 Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 2-2 Al-Ittihad FC | Pro League |
| Oct 31, 2024 | Al-Ittihad FC 1-0 Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 1-0 Al-Ittihad FC | Pro League |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Al-Ittihad FC 0-1 Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Ittihad FC on Mar 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Ittihad FC score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Ahli Jeddah score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Ittihad FC | 2.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Ittihad FC sit 2nd in Pro League (7 points from 3 matches) and Al-Ahli Jeddah sit 4th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al-Ittihad FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Al-Ittihad FC.
- Where and when is Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah played?
- Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah is played on November 26, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at King Abdullah Sports City, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.