NEOM vs Al-Qadisiyah FC: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 24, 2026 at 04:40 PM (UTC)King Khalid Sport City Stadium, Tabouk
The Footlab model makes Al-Qadisiyah FC the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for NEOM. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NEOM vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
Al-Qadisiyah FC starts as the favourite with a 171-point Elo edge (2,059 vs 1,888).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NEOM have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Al-Qadisiyah FC have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al-Faisaly FC(away) | 2-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Al-Faisaly FC(away) | 3-1 | King's Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Al-Fayha(home) | 2-1 | Pro League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Al-Arabi SC(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC(home) | 0-1 | Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al Taee(away) | 5-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Al Shabab(away) | 3-1 | Pro League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Levante(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 21, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC(away) | 5-1 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 NEOM win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Al-Qadisiyah FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC 1-0 NEOM | Pro League |
| Oct 19, 2025 | NEOM 1-3 Al-Qadisiyah FC | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al-Qadisiyah FC vs NEOM on Feb 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
NEOM score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Qadisiyah FC score 2.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEOM | 1.7 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Al-Qadisiyah FC | 2.5 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NEOM sit 5th in Pro League (6 points from 2 matches) and Al-Qadisiyah FC sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | NEOM | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NEOM vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Qadisiyah FC the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for NEOM.
- Where and when is NEOM vs Al-Qadisiyah FC played?
- NEOM vs Al-Qadisiyah FC is played on August 24, 2026 at 04:40 PM (UTC) at King Khalid Sport City Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.