Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Fateh: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Kingdom Arena, Riyadh
The Footlab model makes Al-Hilal Saudi FC the favourite at 81%, against 13% for a draw and 6% for Al-Fateh. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Fateh?
Al-Hilal Saudi FC is a heavy favourite: 2,182 Elo points against 1,749, a 433-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Hilal Saudi FC have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Al-Fateh have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Al-Fayha(away) | 3-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al-Raed(away) | 2-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Al-Faisaly FC(home) | 4-2 | Pro League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Al Ahli Doha(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | MC Alger(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq(home) | 0-1 | Pro League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Al Ula(away) | 0-3 | King's Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Al-Nassr(away) | 0-3 | Pro League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 21, 2026 | Al Kholood(away) | 0-0 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Al-Hilal Saudi FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Al-Fateh win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Al-Fateh 0-1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Pro League |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC 4-1 Al-Fateh | King's Cup |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2-1 Al-Fateh | Pro League |
| May 16, 2025 | Al-Fateh 3-4 Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Pro League |
| Jan 16, 2025 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC 9-0 Al-Fateh | Pro League |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3-1 Al-Fateh | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al-Fateh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Hilal Saudi FC score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Fateh score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 2.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Al-Fateh | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Hilal Saudi FC sit 3rd in Pro League (6 points from 2 matches) and Al-Fateh sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 18 | Al-Fateh | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Fateh?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Hilal Saudi FC the favourite at 81%, against 13% for a draw and 6% for Al-Fateh.
- Where and when is Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Fateh played?
- Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Fateh is played on October 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Kingdom Arena, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.