Al Shabab vs Al-Ahli Jeddah: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, Riyadh
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Al Shabab. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al-Ahli Jeddah wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Shabab vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Al-Ahli Jeddah starts as the favourite with a 282-point Elo edge (2,021 vs 1,739).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Shabab vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Shabab
4-4-2- 9Roger Martínez
- 11Daniel Podence
- 29Y. Adli
- 8J. Brownhill
- 10Y. Carrasco
- 22Hammam Al-Hammami
- 4T. Jedvaj
- 17Mohammed Fuad Ibrahim Al Thani
- 3M. Barry
- 21Dhari Al Anazi
- 1M. Diaw
Al-Ahli Jeddah
4-2-3-1- 17I. Toney
- 7Trincão
- 8E. Spertsyan
- 6V. Atangana Edoa
- 13Galeno
- 9Feras Al Brikan
- 28M. Demiral
- 3Ibañez
- 15Saeed Baattia
- 2Zakaria Al Hawsawi
- 1Abdulrahman Al Sanbi
Known absences
É. MendyOut · Knee injury
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 02:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Shabab have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Al-Ahli Jeddah have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Al-Fayha(home) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Al Kholood(away) | 1-2 | Pro League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC(home) | 0-2 | Pro League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Al-Hazm(away) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Al Riyadh(home) | 3-3 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(away) | 1-2 | FIFA Intercontinental Cup |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Pakhtakor(home) | 1-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Al-Hazm(home) | 3-1 | Pro League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(away) | 2-3 | Pro League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Al Riyadh(home) | 5-0 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Al Shabab win, 2 draws, 3 Al-Ahli Jeddah wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | Al Shabab 2-5 Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 1-1 Al Shabab | Pro League |
| May 11, 2025 | Al Shabab 3-1 Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League |
| Jan 10, 2025 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 3-2 Al Shabab | Pro League |
| May 11, 2024 | Al Shabab 1-2 Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 0-0 Al Shabab | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al Shabab vs Al-Ahli Jeddah on Feb 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Shabab score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Ahli Jeddah score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Shabab | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Shabab sit 14th in Pro League (4 points from 7 matches) and Al-Ahli Jeddah sit 6th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 12 |
| 14 | Al Shabab | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 4 |
A question about Al Shabab vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Shabab vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Al Shabab.
- Where and when is Al Shabab vs Al-Ahli Jeddah played?
- Al Shabab vs Al-Ahli Jeddah is played on October 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.